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Predictions
"Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific
advances." -- Dr. Lee DeForest, Inventor of TV
"The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives." --
Admiral William Leahy, US Atomic Bomb Project
"There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom." --
Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923
"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." -- Popular
Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949
"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers." -- Thomas
Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
"640K of memory ought to be enough for anybody." -- Bill Gates, 1981
"I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked
with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a
fad that won't last out the year." -- The editor in charge of business
books for Prentice Hall, 1957
"But what ... is it good for?" -- Engineer at the Advanced Computing
Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.
"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered
as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to
us," -- Western Union internal memo, 1876
"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would
pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?" -- David Sarnoff's
associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in
the 1920s.
" The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn
better than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible," -- A Yale University
management professor in response to Fred Smith's paper proposing
reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to found Federal
Express Corp.)
"I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not
Gary Cooper," -- Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading
role in "Gone With The Wind."
"A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports
say America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you
make," -- Response to Debbi Fields' idea of starting Mrs. Fields'
Cookies.
"We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out," --
Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.
"Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible," -- Lord Kelvin,
president, Royal Society, 1895.
"If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The
literature was full of examples that said you can't do this," --
Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M
"Post-It" Notepads
Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil?
You're crazy," -- Drillers whom Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his
project to drill for oil in 1859.
"Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." --
Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.
"Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value," -- Marshall
Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre.
"Everything that can be invented has been invented," -- Charles
H. Duell, Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899.
"The super computer is technologically impossible. It would take all
of the water that flows over Niagara Falls to c ool the heat generated
by the number of vacuum tubes required." -- professor of electrical
engineering, New York University
"I don't know what use any one could find for a machine that would
make copies of documents. It certainly couldn't be a feasible business
by itself." -- the head of IBM, refusing to back the idea, forcing the
inventor to found Xerox
"Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." -- Pierre
Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
"The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the
intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon," -- Sir John Eric Ericksen,
British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria
1873
"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in the home." -- Ken
Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp.,
1977
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About
The Center for the Study of Social Structures is a public think tank
and idea center. We are interested in how changes to social
structures—the forms and patterns of everyday life—can
improve the condition of our shared existence.
We believe in the essential familyhood and potential superintelligence
of human beings. In consequence, it is both expedient and only fair to
open the conversation about human destiny to all of us who share in
what that destiny will be. The structures we seek are those which
befit and recognize a world full of visionaries.
Recognizing the intimate connection between human material and
intellectual needs, the Center strives to reflect its philosophy in
its economics. All our contributing fellows are paid for their work
the income generated by advertising on the Center's website, and
through a system of shared ownership, all stand to gain by
contributing more as well as bringing as many other people as possible
into the conversation.
We are can-do people that want to make something out of the ideas we
gather together. The Center offers qualified advisors—attorneys,
accountants, specialized tax counsel, and IRS qualified appraisals to
help manifest our thinking into real social change. There are plans in
the works to develop funds for scholarships and social structures
projects to enact our fellows' ideas in the world.
The Center began in Santa Barbara-by-the-sea, California in the
1960s. It was recognized as a 501(c)(3) non-profit educational
organization in 1981. You can visit our old site, dating from the
1990s, here.
Can we give the world hope with a website?
Good progress, in whatever structures it will become manifest, can
only begin with a change of consciousness. Lift up thine eyes!
the ancient prophets cried. What needs to be discovered and inhabited
by thinking people today is a point of view big enough to encompass
the situation as we now see it: exploding human population on planet
earth and our compounding, desperate interdependence.
The ideas that the Center studies take at least two approaches: (1)
fresh articulations and expressions of the problems that face us, and
(2) innovative, workable, and graceful solutions to them. Our website
is an invitation to the people of the world to join in and collaborate
on the hope we want to build.
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